Hypothesis & metric design
Define the change, expected mechanism, primary outcome and guardrails before launch.
Controlled experiments that turn a specific prediction into evidence your team can use.
Discuss your project +For businesses with enough eligible traffic and conversions to test meaningful changes within a practical timeframe.
A properly scoped experiment, a defensible analysis and a clear recommendation tied to the business decision.
Define the change, expected mechanism, primary outcome and guardrails before launch.
Assess baseline performance, detectable effect, sample requirements and expected duration.
Validate assignment, tracking and treatment behavior; monitor sample ratio and implementation integrity.
Report effect size, uncertainty and commercial implications, including inconclusive or negative findings.
A credible decision, including when the evidence does not support a rollout. A test can teach you something useful without producing a positive result.
Duration depends on baseline conversion, traffic, the effect you need to detect and the design. We estimate it before launch and avoid ending a test simply because a dashboard turns green.
No. The commitment is to a rigorous process, transparent analysis and useful learning. Outcomes depend on the hypothesis and customer behavior.